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Critique of CMA direct benchmarking analysis

A note for ScottishPower based on a non-confidential submission to the CMA.


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Brexit: what do prediction markets tell us about its likelihood?

In the run-up to the EU referendum—and all significant political events—the results of opinion polls are closely followed by those seeking to track the likely direction of the vote. However, polls are far from being the only way to estimate the probability of an uncertain event; analysis of bookmakers’ odds suggest that there is currently a 23% chance1 of the UK public voting to leave the EU, suggesting that Brexit is perceived as more likely than Scotland voting for independence was at a comparable moment in the campaign. How can such prediction markets be used to draw inference about how their participants expect these events to unfold.


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Brexit: implications for the GB electricity market

Despite the UK being part of the EU Single Market, trade in electricity between Great Britain and connected markets is significantly affected by differences in CO2 taxes, as well as in transmission and balancing charges. Brexit may give the UK the opportunity to adjust for this effect through import tariffs. If this happens, what would be the impact on the GB electricity market and trade in electricity? To answer this question, Oxera has estimated the likely changes using its electricity market dispatch model.


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When should online platforms be regulated? Oxera’s initial analysis of the European Commission’s thinking

On 25 May 2016, the European Commission published a Communication on online platforms and the Digital Single Market (DSM), accompanied by a staff working document.
 
There will be no single or unified regulatory framework for online platforms. Instead, the Commission is preparing the groundwork for rules aimed at addressing clearly identified problems with specific types of online platform. This problem-driven approach is consistent with the evidence-rich, effects-based analysis that can be applied in this industry, while limiting the negative effects of unintended consequences from introducing broad-brush regulations. It is also consistent with Oxera’s previous published work and thinking on these issues.


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Brexit: implications for competition enforcement in the UK? An economic review

The impact of Brexit on legal services as a whole is uncertain, but consensus is emerging that competition law could be one of the areas most strongly affected. Oxera estimates that competition makes up around 5% of the UK’s top law firms’ service offering.[1] 


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Brexit: implications for the transport sector

Oxera has undertaken an independent review of the likely impact of Brexit on different modes of transport.


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Evaluation of the Competition Commission’s BAA airports market investigation

Gatwick Airport Limited (GAL) commissioned Oxera to undertake an independent evaluation of the impacts of the remedies imposed by the Competition Commission (CC) after its 2009 market investigation into BAA. 


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The impact of cross-border access to audiovisual content on EU consumers

Greater cross-border access to audiovisual (AV) content and services, as outlined in the European Commission’s Digital Single Market strategy, is likely to be significantly detrimental to European consumers and the AV industry in Europe, as well as to international AV businesses that are active in Europe.


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Crowdfunding from an investor perspective

The Directorate General for Internal Market and Services and the Financial Services User Group (FSUG) commissioned Oxera to conduct a study on crowdfunding with financial returns in Europe. We were requested to undertake the study from the perspective of the user—the investor, rather than the fundraiser—and to include equity crowdfunding and peer-to-peer (P2P) lending.


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Brexit: implications for state aid rules

As the UK steel industry continues to struggle, trade unions and other interested parties have called on the UK government to offer state support to the Port Talbot steelworks. This has not yet materialised, however, largely due to concerns over a potential breach of state aid rules. 

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