Publications
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Oxera provide expert evidence to First Gas

First Gas, a gas distribution network in New Zealand, asked Oxera to give evidence on regulatory finance issues to the New Zealand Commerce Commission (NZCC). In particular, First Gas asked Oxera to provide expert evidence in relation to the NZCC’s assessment of systematic risk for gas pipeline businesses in New Zealand, relative to electricity networks.


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Small number, large effect: the productivity factor for energy networks in Germany

Oxera publishes a report on the energy sector in Germany. 


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Oxera response to the Brexit Competition Law Working Group (1)

In this response to the comprehensive issues paper published by the Brexit Competition Law Working Group, Oxera provides an economic perspective on three major issues surrounding the impact of Brexit. 


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Brexit: potential implications for the water sector in England and Wales

Following the vote on 23 June in favour of the UK leaving the EU, this note presents initial thoughts on some key areas where the outcome of the referendum vote may affect the water sector in England and Wales.


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The economics of peer to peer lending

With the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) commencing its post-implementation review of the crowdfunding market, including both peer-to-peer (P2P) lending and equity-based crowdfunding, the Peer-to-Peer Finance Association (P2PFA) asked Oxera to conduct an independent economic assessment of P2P lending.


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The contribution of asset management to the UK economy

Asset managers are responsible for managing assets for pensions, insurance and other long-term savings products. With over £5trn of assets under management in the UK, asset management makes up a large part of the capital markets.[1] Asset managers also generate significant net exports for the UK, as some £2.2trn of these assets are managed for overseas investors.[2]


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Increasing consumer engagement in the annuities market: can prompts raise shopping around?

The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) commissioned Oxera and the Nuffield Centre for Experimental Social Sciences (CESS) to conduct an experiment to test the impact of prompts on consumers’ propensity to shop around for pensions annuities. The findings of the experiment will be used by the FCA in its proposed remedies for the annuities market. 


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Behavioural insights into Australian retail energy markets

The Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) commissioned Oxera to consider how behavioural insights can be applied to retail energy markets in Australia, and in particular the competitive market indicators tracked by the AEMC. To that extent, this report provides recommendations for how behavioural economics could be incorporated into the AEMC’s analysis, although the specific analysis would require additional primary research, which is beyond the scope of this report.


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Critique of CMA direct benchmarking analysis

A note for ScottishPower based on a non-confidential submission to the CMA.


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Brexit: what do prediction markets tell us about its likelihood?

In the run-up to the EU referendum—and all significant political events—the results of opinion polls are closely followed by those seeking to track the likely direction of the vote. However, polls are far from being the only way to estimate the probability of an uncertain event; analysis of bookmakers’ odds suggest that there is currently a 23% chance1 of the UK public voting to leave the EU, suggesting that Brexit is perceived as more likely than Scotland voting for independence was at a comparable moment in the campaign. How can such prediction markets be used to draw inference about how their participants expect these events to unfold.

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